The long-awaited IAEA report details some old, but curious elements of Iranian nuclear program. Years ago, Iran was already working on neutron initiator which can only be used in nuclear explosions. Its warhead prototype tests, dating back eleven years, could not but yield positive results since.
Yet Bush’s era NIE claims that Iran abandoned its military nuclear program. As we can see now, the intelligence estimate is technically correct: Iran mostly completed its work on weaponization by 2007, and turned to quasi-peaceful uranium enrichment instead. The NIE achieved its effect by a slight substitution: ‘abandoned’ instead of ‘completed.’
And knowing full well about the dimensions of Iranian military program, the White House played it down for a decade. Today, too, we doubt that they would slap Iran with a ban on its oil and gas exports.